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International Trade

At BBVA, we want to help you make your company’s international decisions as well.

That’s why, from the SME Trade Finance area, we are launching this newsletter, where you will find a selection of key content to help you better understand the international context and make decisions with greater confidence.

Because in foreign trade, being well informed makes all the difference.

  • Macroeconomic conditions in the U.S. States and Europe set the course for EUR/USD

    September 2026

    The dollar is moderating its trend after two months of consolidation, allowing the EUR/USD pair to hold above 1.16. U.S. employment and inflation data States are easing pressure on the greenback, while the ECB’s rate hike to 2.50% is providing support for the euro. Although energy market instability in the Strait of Hormuz is keeping the dollar in its safe-haven role, market estimates point to moderately bullish performance for the pair over the coming months.

  • Central bank decisions shape the outlook for EUR/USD

    September 2026

    ECB policy continues to support the euro after rates were raised to 2.50%, while the Fed’s next moves will depend on U.S. inflation. States Against this backdrop, market estimates project a moderately bullish path for EUR/USD toward the 1.1450–1.1500 range. In the long term, Europe’s election calendar and the political situation in France remain the main sources of uncertainty for the common currency.

  • Export strategy: how to choose the right international market

    September 2026

    Choosing a destination based on intuition is one of the most common mistakes companies make when expanding internationally. Although 62% of Spanish sales are concentrated in the EU, the 8% decline in sales to the U.S. States due to tariffs demonstrates the value of diversification. Analyzing each country based on demand, competition, technical barriers, logistics, and payment risk makes it possible to identify real opportunities. To make this assessment easier, BBVA and Oftex offer a free online market assessment and selection tool.

  • Macroeconomic factors and interest rates are stabilizing the EUR/USD

    July 2026

    The consolidation of the dollar after its one-year highs places the EUR/USD pair in the 1.14 - 1.1460 range. The moderation of employment in the US States dampens expectations of aggressive rate hikes by the Fed, reducing pressure on the greenback. In Europe, attention is focused on underlying inflation and the ECB's next steps, key factors that will determine the path to a gradual recovery of the European currency.

  • Credit insurance protects the collection of your sales

    July 2026

    This coverage solution allows you to ensure the collection of your business transactions and maintain the stability of your business in complex environments. By continuously assessing customer creditworthiness and offering debt collection in more than 150 countries, it mitigates the business risks of your activity. A key tool for making decisions with greater confidence and expanding your exports without jeopardizing your liquidity.

  • Artificial intelligence transforms your international prospecting

    July 2026

    Digitalization redefines foreign sales by optimizing the search for international clients without losing the essence of direct commercial dealings. The use of structured methodologies supported by technology makes it possible to identify suitable markets and automate initial business contacts with great efficiency. An agile solution designed to open new export opportunities with less effort for your sales team.

  • The EU-Mercosur agreement ushers in new era for exports

    May 2026

    The agreement's provisional application activates a strategic market in Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay. The gradual elimination of tariffs will boost key sectors such as capital goods, food and pharmaceuticals, redefining Spanish sales. Since each product has its own timeframes and rules of origin, the customs analysis and preparation of the trade strategy cannot wait: the time to act is now.

  • Incoterms 2020 determine the risk and cost of your sales

    May 2026

    These three letters regulate who assumes responsibility for transport and customs management in international trade. Although habit leads many companies to automatically use EXW or FOB, they are not always the most efficient options. In container transport, alternatives such as the Incoterm FCA are gaining ground by offering greater control over the export customs declaration and superior protection against logistical unforeseen events.

  • Geopolitics and central banks stabilize the EUR/USD

    May 2026

    The ceasefire in the Middle East gives the market a breather: crude oil consolidates at 100-105 USD per barrel, and the dollar loses ground, placing the EUR/USD pair in the 1.17-1.18 range. Although geopolitical tension remains latent, attention is now shifting towards macroeconomic data. The next ECB meeting in June and the change of leadership at the Fed will be key factors in the evolution of inflation and currencies.

  • The conflict in the Middle East drives up the dollar and weakens the euro

    April 2026

    The energy shock resulting from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has boosted the dollar as a safe-haven asset, reaching highs of 100 points in its global index. While the U.S. States benefits from its export profile, the euro has fallen to levels of 1.1470 due to the region’s energy dependence. This geopolitical crisis has triggered a sharp correction in the EUR/USD pair, pushing traditional macroeconomic data into the background. The rise in gas and crude import costs is now the main drag on European foreign trade.

  • EUR/USD Forecasts: Energy will dictate the direction of currencies

    April 2026

    The de-escalation between the US States and Iran on April 8 has cooled energy prices, fulfilling the recovery scenario for the euro. After touching lows of 1.14, the EUR/USD pair has rebounded to 1.18, validating the strategic buying opportunity amid the easing of tension in Hormuz. Although a prolonged war threatened to sink the currency to levels of 1.11, current optimism is giving a boost to European foreign trade. Geopolitics remains the key factor for market forecasts.

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